Subscribe to our Newsletter

Get a monthly digest of the latest Football GAP insights.

About Us

We believe the individual impact of football players cannot be measured by vanity metrics like goals, passes, tackles won or possession. Real team players influence besides their own metrics especially their team members, their opponents and as a final output the game result directly and indirectly. This is what Football GAP is about.

© 2025 Football Gap. All rights reserved.

PrivacyTermsContact

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs St. Pauli - Predictions, Stats & Odds

Bundesliga Statistics, AI predictions, (Expected) Lineups and Insights for Gameweek 22

Bundesliga - Gameweek 22

Saturday, 14 Feb 2026 • 15:30

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

4 : 0

St. Pauli

Goals

Jarell Quansah
1 : 0
13'
13'Jarell Quansah
1 : 0
Patrik Schick
2 : 0
14'
14'Patrik Schick
2 : 0
Edmond Tapsoba
3 : 0
52'
52'Edmond Tapsoba
3 : 0
Ernest Poku
4 : 0
78'
78'Ernest Poku
4 : 0

Game Review

Bayer 04 Leverkusen delivered a commanding performance in the Bundesliga, securing a 4-0 victory over St. Pauli on Saturday. This result was largely anticipated given Leverkusen's superior form and league standing compared to their opponents. The match unfolded with Leverkusen asserting dominance early on, and they never looked back. The scoring opened in the 14th minute with Patrik Schick (GAP +2.8%) finding the back of the net, setting the tone for what would be a challenging afternoon for St. Pauli. Leverkusen doubled their lead just a minute later through Jarell Quansah (GAP +0.5%), who capitalized on a defensive lapse. The second half saw Edmond Tapsoba (GAP +5.1%) extend the lead further in the 52nd minute, showcasing his prowess in set-piece situations. Ernest Poku (GAP -0.3%) rounded off the scoring in the 78th minute, sealing a comprehensive victory for the home side. Tactically, Leverkusen's manager made no changes to the starting lineup from their previous match, indicating confidence in his squad's current form. In contrast, St. Pauli's head coach opted for a few adjustments, bringing in players like Taichi Hara and Joel Fujita during the game to try and shift the momentum, albeit unsuccessfully. Key performances were highlighted by Alex Grimaldo (GAP +5.7%), who was instrumental in both defense and attack, and Exequiel Palacios (GAP +5.2%), who controlled the midfield with authority. The Game Advantage Percentage (GAP) statistics underscore the impact these players had on the match. This victory solidifies Bayer Leverkusen's position in the upper echelons of the Bundesliga table, maintaining their push for European qualification. For St. Pauli, this defeat serves as a reminder of the challenges they face in the top flight, as they continue to hover near the relegation zone. The result emphasizes the gulf in class between the two sides and the work St. Pauli needs to do to secure their Bundesliga status. Post-match reactions from the Leverkusen camp were understandably positive, with players and staff alike praising the team's cohesive performance. St. Pauli, meanwhile, will need to regroup quickly as they look to bounce back in their upcoming fixtures.

Lineups

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

PosPlayer
GK
Janis Blaswich
DEF
Lucas Vazquez
DEF
Alex Grimaldo
DEF
Edmond Tapsoba
DEF
Jarell Quansah
MID
Exequiel Palacios
MID
Robert Andrich
MID
Aleix García
FWD
Patrik Schick
FWD
Ibrahim Maza
FWD
Ernest Poku

Substitutes

46'Malik Tillmanfor Ibrahim Maza
59'Christian Kofanefor Patrik Schick
59'Arthurfor Lucas Vazquez
72'Jonas Hofmannfor Alex Grimaldo
80'Martin Terrierfor Exequiel Palacios

St. Pauli

PosPlayer
GK
Nikola Vasilj
DEF
Adam Dźwigała
DEF
James Sands
DEF
Karol Mets
DEF
Manolis Saliakas
DEF
Tomoya Ando
MID
Mathias Rasmussen
MID
Jackson Irvine
MID
Danel Sinani
FWD
Arkadiusz Pyrka
FWD
Martijn Kaars

Substitutes

69'Taichi Harafor Jackson Irvine
69'Joel Fujitafor James Sands
82'Lars Ritzkafor Manolis Saliakas
82'Abdoulie Ceesayfor Martijn Kaars
Difference Maker Star: Top 3 players of their team

League Table after the game

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
6Bayer 04 Leverkusen2112364327+1639
L
W
W
D
W
17St. Pauli2245132039-1917
D
D
L
W
L

Last Games

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

@Borussia Mönchengladbach
1 - 1
@Eintracht Frankfurt
3 - 1
vsWerder Bremen
1 - 0
@1899 Hoffenheim
0 - 1
vsVfB Stuttgart
1 - 4

St. Pauli

vsVfB Stuttgart
2 - 1
@FC Augsburg
1 - 2
vsRB Leipzig
1 - 1
vsHamburger SV
0 - 0
@Borussia Dortmund
2 - 3

Head-to-Head

14 Feb 2026
Bayer 04 Leverkus...4 - 0St. Pauli
14 Feb 2026Bayer 04 Leverkusen
4 - 0
St. Pauli
27 Sept 2025
St. Pauli1 - 2Bayer 04 Leverkus...
27 Sept 2025St. Pauli
1 - 2
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
20 Apr 2025
St. Pauli1 - 1Bayer 04 Leverkus...
20 Apr 2025St. Pauli
1 - 1
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
07 Dec 2024
Bayer 04 Leverkus...2 - 1St. Pauli
07 Dec 2024Bayer 04 Leverkusen
2 - 1
St. Pauli

Bundesliga

Gameweek 22

13 Feb • 20:30
Borussia Dortmund
FSV Mainz 05
4 - 0
14 Feb • 15:30
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
St. Pauli
4 - 0
14 Feb • 15:30
Werder Bremen
FC Bayern München
0 - 3
14 Feb • 15:30
Eintracht Frankfurt
Borussia Mönchengladbach
3 - 0
14 Feb • 15:30
Hamburger SV
Union Berlin
3 - 2
14 Feb • 15:30
1899 Hoffenheim
SC Freiburg
3 - 0
14 Feb • 18:30
VfB Stuttgart
1. FC Köln
3 - 1
15 Feb • 15:30
FC Augsburg
FC Heidenheim
1 - 0
15 Feb • 17:30
RB Leipzig
VfL Wolfsburg
2 - 2

What is GAP?

What is Plus Minus Goals (G±)?

Plus Minus Goals (G±) is the average goal difference per game while the player was on the pitch. A value above 0 indicates that the team rather wins, a value below 0 means his team concedes more goals than they score when the player is on the pitch. As an example, if the player's team is winning 3:1 the goal difference is +2, if the player's team is loosing 0:1, the goal difference is -1. It is a pure metric which is barely adjusted for circumstances to purely show the goal difference.

What is GAP?

GAP (Game Advantage Percentage) shows the percentage gap between a player and the average league player. It answers the question: How much does a player improve or worsen a team's performance? It is based on high level game data with a focus on the impact on the goal difference (G±) from the last 50 games of a player. Besides that, GAP goes further and considers game context by involving data from the player and all other players who are at the same time on the pitch, no matter if teammates or opponents. Football GAP - the individual metric for team players.